THE SYSTEM OF MONITORING YOUTH MIGRATION MOBILITY IN THE PROJECTION OF HUMAN POTENTIAL CONSERVATION: CONCEPTUAL AND METHODOLOGICAL EMPIRICISM
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31649/ins.2022.3.38.49Keywords:
migration mobility, youth, economic growth, monitoring, causality, migrationology, approachAbstract
The paper argues that an integrated approach to form a methodology for analyzing the impact of migration on socio-economic development should consider the complexity and dynamism of migration and causal impact on economic processes. Methodology of assessing the impact of migration processes on the socio-economic development of the country based on the ‘reaction-result’ approach is based on the following phasedization: determining the level of intensity of external migration of the population using the coefficients of general and labour migration, assessing the causality (causality) of population migration and socio-economic development of the country (in the form of an integral coefficient); population migration and parameters of socio-economic development of the country; modeling the volume of potential migration to the largest recipient countries of human resources. Systematization of developments in the field of analytical migrationology made it possible to identify methodological tools for assessing the impact of migration, the formation and development of migration vectors on socio-economic development (relative economic productivity between donor countries and recipient ones; differentiation in economic growth; divergence of the wage system; labour intensity of the economy; labour surplus/surplus; investment capacity of research and development).
The developed methodological approach to assessing the impact of young migration mobility on socio-economic development and human potential provides for the analysis of internal and external parameters of convergence-divergence of economic growth of countries. Based on the systematization of methodological approaches to analyzing the impact of migration mobility on the socio-economic development of the territory, it was established that the effectiveness of the study has a causal relationship with migration monitoring in terms of age and other criteria. The formation of a system for monitoring the impact of migration mobility of young people on human potential and economic growth of the donor country of human resources involves five key stages: strategic (determining the purpose of the study, formulating a hypothesis regarding the influence of the ejection / attraction environment on migration processes), compositional (justification of the structural elements of the social and economic environment model for the development of migration processes), qualitative assessment (selection of indicators for the qualitative impact on the resulting component of the conditions of the development of migration processes), empirical (calculation of the empirical indicator of the level of pushing the population abroad and attracting immigrants to the country of destination) and econometric (modeling the influence of the development conditions on migration; determining critical and optimal migration processes).
References
Castles, S. (2002). Environmental Change and Forced Migration: Making sense of the debate. New Issues in Refugee Research. Working Paper No. 70. Refugees Studies Centre, University of Oxford and UNHCR, Evaluation and Policy Analysis Unit, Geneva.
Castles, S. (2000). International Migration at the Beginning of the Twenty First Century: Global trends and issues.International Social Science Journal, 165, 269-81.
Skeldon, R. (2003). Interlinkages between internal and international migration and development in the Asian region. Meeting on Migration and Development, Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, Bangkok.
Arthur, P. L., Ensor, J., van Faassen, M., Hoekstra, R., Peters, N. (2018). Migrating People, Migrating Data: Digital Approaches to Migrant Heritage. Journal of the Japanese Association for Digital Humanities, 3(1), 98-113. https://doi.org/10.17928/jjadh.3.1_98.
Enflo, K, Henning, M (2016). The development of economic growth and inequality among the Swedish regions 1860-2010: Evidence from regional national accounts. In: Ljungberg, J (ed.) Structural Analysis and the Process of Economic Development. Essays in Memory of Lennart Schön. London: Routledge. pp. 126-148.
Boschma, R, Eriksson, R., Lindgren, U (2014) Labour market externalities and regional growth in Sweden: The importance of labour mobility between skill-related industries. Regional Studies,48(10), 1669-1690.
Mattoo, A., Mishra, D. (2009). Foreign Professionals in the United States: Regulatory Impediments to Trade. Journal of International Economic Law, 12(2), 435-456.
Aure, M., Forde, A., Magnussen T. (2018). Will migrant workers rescue rural regions? Challenges of creating stability through mobility. Journal of Rural Studies, 60, 52-59.
Becker, S., Ferrara, A. (2019). Consequences of forced migration: A survey of recent findings. Labour Economics, 59, 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2019.02.007.
Luin, G., Landolt P. (2009). Immigrants and Precarious Employment in the New Economy. (Introduction and three Research Briefs.) Toronto: Immigrants and Precarious Employment Project. June. URL: http://www.arts.yorku.ca/research/ine/index.php
Cranford, C., Vosko,L., Zukewich N. (2003). Precarious employment in the Canadian labour market: a statistical portrait. Just Labour.
Irving, J., Mohapatra, S., Ratha, D. (2010). Migrant Remittance Flows, Findings from a Global Survey of Central Banks. World Bank Working Paper, No. 194, World Bank.
Malуnovska, O. (2011). Trudova mihratsiya: sotsialʹni doslidzhennya ta shlyakhy reahuvannya [Labor migration: social studies and ways of response]. Kyiv. NISD.
Libanova, E. (2018). Zovnishnya trudova mihratsiya ukrayintsiv: masshtaby, prychyny, naslidky [External labor migration of Ukrainians: scope, causes, consequences]. Demography and social economy, 2 (33), 11-26.
Boiko, V., Mulska, O., Baranyak, I., Levytska, O. (2021). Ukrainian migration aspirations towards Germany: Analysis and development scenarios. Comparative Economic Research, 24(1), 65-84. URL: https://www.ceeol.com/search/article-detail?id=946127
Vasyltsiv, T., Mulska, O., Levytska, O., Kalyta, O., Kohut, M., Biletska, I. (2021). External migration and endogenous development nexus: challenges for the sustainable macroeconomic policy. Estudios de Economia Aplicada, 39(8). DOI: https://doi.org/10.25115/eea.v39i8.4770
Burov, I. (2018). Trudova mihratsiya yak naslidok sotsialʹno-ekonomichnoyi polityky Ukrayiny 2014-2018 rr. [Labor migration as a consequence of the socio-economic policy of Ukraine 2014-2018]. Ukrainian society: monitoring of social changes, 6 (20), 166-170.
Balderas, U., Nath, H. (2005). Remittances, Relative Price Variability and Inflation in Mexico. Paper presented at the 75th Annual Meeting of the Southern Economics Association. Washington.
Loser, C., Lockwood, C., Minson, A., Balcazar, L. (2010). The macro-economic impact of remittances in Latin America: Dutch disease or Latin cure? URL: http://www.g24.org/lose0906.pdf
Checkland, P.(2001). Soft Systems Methodology, in J. Rosenhead and J. Mingers (eds), Rational Analysis for a Problematic World Revisited. Chichester: Wiley
Ridaura, S., Masera, O. Astier, M. (2002). Evaluating the sustainability of complex socioenvironmental systems: The MESMIS Framework. Ecological Indicators, 2(1-2), 135-148
Carling, J. (2010). Migration corridors: Conceptual and Methodological Issues. Memo for the NORFACE-funded THEMIS Project 1. Oslo: Peace Research Institute.
Sarioglo, V., Ogai, M. (2019). Otsinka potreb u zamishchenni robochoyi syly v Ukrayini, obumovlenykh yiyi vybuttyam za vikom ta trudovoyu mihratsiyeyu [Assessment of labor force replacement needs in Ukraine, due to its retirement due to age and labor migration]. Statistics of Ukraine, 1, 35-43.
Voznyak, H., Mulska, O., Bil. M. (2021). Migration aspirations of territory population: A case study of Ukraine. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 19(2), 217-231. DOI:10.21511/ppm.19(2).2021.18
Mulska, O. (2021). Sutnistʹ i kauzalʹnistʹ mihratsiynykh protsesiv i makroekonomichnykh parametriv [Essence and causality of migration processes and macroeconomic parameters]. Scientific notes of the Lviv University of Business and Law, 28, 48-55. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5075172.
Pozniak, O. (2012). External labour migration in Ukraine as a factor in socio-demographic and economic development. Technical Report, Migration Policy Centre, CARIM-East Research Report, 2012/14. URL: https://cadmus.eui.eu//handle/1814/24857
Bilan, Y. (2017). Migration of the Ukrainian population: Economic, institutional and sociocultural factors. London: Ubiquity Press. URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/182426/1/637906.pdf
Fedyuk, O., Kindler, M. (2016). Migration of Ukrainians to the European Union: Background and key issues. In Ukrainian Migration to the European Union (pp. 1-14). DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-41776-9_14
Rahman, M. (2013). Estimation of internal migration by the national growth rate method: an alternative approach. The Bangladesh Development Studies, 79-87. https://doi.org/10.2307/44730021
Mongelli, I., Ciscar, J. (2018). Economic consequences of zero international migration in the EU – Anassessment forEurope based on the Eurostat population projections, EUR 29246 EN.DOI:10.2760/65431, JRC109196
Baas, T. Melzer, S. (2016). The Macroeconomic Impact of Remittances: A Sending Country Perspective, Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik, No. B22-V1, ZBW. URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/145631
Fair, R., Dominguez, K. (1991). Effects of the changing US age distribution on macroeconomic equations.The American Economic Review, 81 (5),1276-1294.
Zapadnyuk, S. (2012). Mihratsiyi naselennya Ukrayiny: vnutrishnʹo rehionalʹnyy vymir [Population migrations of Ukraine: intra-regional dimension]. Ukrainian Geographical Journal, 2(78), 28-33.
Sadova, U. (Ed.) (2011). Rehionalʹna mihratsiyna polityka ta mekhanizmy yiyi realizatsiyi [Regional migration policy and mechanisms for its implementation]. National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Institute of Regional Studies; Lviv, 528 p.
Vasyltsiv, T. (Ed.) (2021). Seredovyshche zovnishnʹoyi mihratsiyi naselennya Ukrayiny: empiryka, modelyuvannya i priorytety polityky rehulyuvannya [The environment of external migration of the population of Ukraine: empiricism, modeling and regulatory policy priorities]. State Institution ‘Institute of Regional Studies named after M.I. Dolishniy National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine’. Lviv, 51 p.
Vasyltsiv, T., Mulska, O. (2021). Napryamy ta instrumenty ekonomichnoho mekhanizmu derzhavnoho rehulyuvannya mihratsiynykh protsesiv v Ukrayini [Directions and tools of the economic mechanism of state regulation of migration processes in Ukraine]. Problems of the systemic approach in economics, 2 (82), 23-29. https://doi.org/10.32782/2520-2200/2021-2-3
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
Downloads
License
Copyright (c) 2022 Innovation and Sustainability
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
